Standard Risk Global articles related to Inflation.
The Strait of Hormuz, blocked by Iran since February 28, 2026, has triggered an oil supply shock redrawing Asian energy alliances and intensifying global inflation. The Bank of Japan lifted its polic…
The 2026 Strait of Hormuz disruption exposes a structural fault line: Japan sources 87% and South Korea 81% of total energy from fossil fuel imports routed overwhelmingly through the chokepoint. This…
President Trump has imposed a 50% additional duty on $20 billion of Canadian electronics, machinery, dairy and auto imports under Section 338, effective August 19. The move, triggered by three procla…
The Strait of Hormuz disruption has reignited energy-driven inflation across G7 economies, forcing a dramatic repricing of the global rate path. The ECB projects Eurozone headline inflation at 3.0% f…
Gold spot fell below $4,000/oz for the first time since November, as the US dollar’s rally and rising real yields crushed the non-yielding asset. The breach of this psychological level, confirmed in …
The US temporarily lifted some sanctions on Iranian oil at sea, releasing approximately 140 million barrels of crude into a tight global market. The move, paired with a 60-day interim accord for nucl…
The US-Iran peace deal’s immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz reverses the conflict’s most acute energy chokepoint, potentially returning roughly 11 million barrels per day of offline crude su…
The May 2026 U.S. Producer Price Index surged 6.5% year-over-year, with a sharp 1.1% month-over-month jump, while consumer inflation rose to 4.2%—the highest in three years. The scale of cost-push in…
The European Central Bank raised its deposit rate 25bp to 2.25% on Thursday - its first hike since 2023 - choosing to fight energy-driven inflation even as it cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0.8%…
U.S. headline inflation surged to a three-year high of 4.2% in May, driven almost entirely by a Gulf-war energy spike rather than domestic demand. The print buried hopes of 2026 Federal Reserve easin…
The May U.S. consumer price index, due at 8:30 a.m. ET today, is set to print near 4.2% year-on-year — up from 3.8% in April and the highest since 2023 — confirming that the Iran war’s energy shock h…
Iran's June 1 vow to "completely" seal the Strait of Hormuz has re-embedded a ~$35/bbl war premium in Brent crude - now ~$96.5, down from April's $126 spike - and driven gold to a record ~$4,480/…
Iran's suspension of US talks and threat to fully close the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent up more than 4% to open June, near $95 after a $126 four-year peak in April. The supply shock has dragged eur…
Global markets have split in two. U.S. equities closed at fresh records on June 1 — the S&P 500 at 7,599.96, the Nasdaq above 27,000 for the first time — wagering on a swift end to the Iran war. Yet …
Headline PCE jumped to 3.8% in April — the highest reading since May 2023 — handing new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh a hawkish opening hand. CME futures now place a 40% probability on a December rate hike ,…
Iran's pledge to restore full Strait of Hormuz traffic within a month of a deal sent WTI crude down 6% to $88.3 on 27 May, dragging the 30-year Treasury yield off its 5.20% near-19-year high to 5.02%…
The downgrade is unusually large. A 30bp cut to growth alongside a 110bp lift to inflation in a single forecast cycle is the steepest stagflationary revision Brussels has published since the 2022 gas…
The US 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.20% on Tuesday — its highest since 2007 — and the 10-year at 4.68% , a 16-month peak. The move is not about Fed expectations; it is the term premium reassert…
Cross-asset markets registered a classic stagflation Friday: Brent surged to USD 109.26 as the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, the US 10-year yield jumped 9bp to 4.544% — its highest in a year — an…
April PPI rose 1.4% MoM, the biggest monthly jump since 2022, lifting the annual rate to 6.0% versus the 0.5% consensus. Core PPI hit 5.2%. Tuesday's CPI had already printed 3.8% YoY (highest since M…
President Trump confirmed the US-Iran truce holds despite UAE-area strikes, with Tehran's 14-point proposal still gating enrichment and a new Strait of Hormuz mechanism. Brent fell 4.0% to $109.87 an…
The ECB held the deposit rate at 2.00% as eurozone April CPI jumped to 3.0% and Q1 GDP stalled at +0.1% — textbook stagflation. Brent briefly hit a four-year high of $126.41/bbl before settling at $1…
The Fed will hold at 3.50–3.75% today — its third consecutive pause and almost certainly Jerome Powell's final FOMC. Markets price the hold at ~100% probability . The setup is unambiguous: with Brent…
A two-month dual blockade of the Strait of Hormuz lifted Brent to $105.33 on Friday, capping a +16% weekly surge — yet the S&P 500 ( 7,165 ) and Nasdaq ( 24,837 ) closed at fresh records, betting the…
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The March CPI report released this morning confirmed what markets feared: the Iran-related energy shock has broken the disinflation trend. Core CPI surged to 3.1% year-over-year — a 12-month high — w…
The most consequential US-China bilateral meeting in a decade begins March 31 in Beijing, with markets pricing modest expectations but underestimating tail risks on both sides. The S&P 500 fell 1.74%…
The global inflation landscape in 2026 is defined not by a single narrative but by a profound divergence. The United States is navigating 'sticky' inflation at 2.4% — stubbornly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target — driven by tariff pass-through, services wage pressures, and shelter cost persistence. The Eurozone has returned to near-target at 1.9%. Japan, after decades of deflation, faces rising prices with CPI at 1.5% and the Bank of Japan hiking rates to 0.75%, their highest since 1995. And China confronts...
Brent crude closed at $103.14 on Friday - its second consecutive session above $100 - as Iran's vow to keep the Strait of Hormuz shut enters its ninth day, disrupting 20% of global oil supply. The S&…
Brent crude futures surged to $110 per barrel on Monday, up 52% from pre-crisis levels of $72.50, as the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz entered its second week with no diplomatic resolution…
The S&P 500 breached the 7,000 milestone intraday on January 28, hitting an all-time high of 7,002.28, before pulling back to close at 6,978.03 after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate u…
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