Standard Risk Global articles related to United States.
President Trump has imposed a 50% additional duty on $20 billion of Canadian electronics, machinery, dairy and auto imports under Section 338, effective August 19. The move, triggered by three procla…
The United States imposed an additional 50% tariff on select Canadian goods via three Section 338 proclamations on July 20, targeting hockey sticks, wine, cement, dairy, and alcohol. The move bypasse…
Failure to renew USMCA by its sunset clause would immediately subject auto imports from Canada and Mexico to 25% Section 232 tariffs, up from current zero rates. This reversion would apply not only t…
Japan's pivot to 'ambush' yen intervention tactics, paired with hawkish BOJ rhetoric, has reset the global carry-trade risk premium, with Rabobank's three-month USD/JPY forecast pinned at 159 as of e…
USDJPY is testing the 162 breakout level as Fed-BOJ divergence hardens, with Morgan Stanley estimating $500bn in outstanding yen carry positions after the August 2024 partial unwind. The Bank of Japa…
Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1% on June 16, the highest level since 1995, and the 10-year JGB yield jumped 3bps to 2.615% on the decision. USDJPY is now testing a breakout above 162 on Fed…
The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% on June 17, extending its pause streak to four consecutive meetings. Yet a majority of FOMC officials’ dot plot projections now signal ra…
The Federal Reserve’s June hold at 3.50–3.75% is anything but neutral; it cements a hawkish macro regime as markets price in further tightening. The U.S. 10-year yield near 4.5% and a surging dollar …
The U.S.-Iran preliminary memorandum has opened a path to clear the 1,500 ships stranded at the Strait of Hormuz, yet oil prices are set for an 8-week stabilization period that will test global suppl…
The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold its key rate at 3.50%-3.75% in June 2026, coupled with a US-Iran 60-day ceasefire extension, sets the stage for a prolonged period of elevated dollar and tight …
The G7-brokered U.S.-Iran memorandum unlocks a 60-day nuclear negotiation window, extends a ceasefire, and creates a $300 billion reconstruction fund. The immediate market inflection is the expected …
The Federal Reserve held rates at 3.50–3.75% on June 16, but scrapped its easing bias and lifted the dot plot median to 3.8%, signaling a 25bp hike. The dollar surged, sending GBP/USD down nearly 1% …
The most consequential move in markets is not Friday's AI rout - it is the synchronized repricing of the G7 long end. Thirty-year sovereign yields have climbed to two-decade highs: the U.S. at 5.01…
May payrolls of 172,000 - more than double the ~80,000 consensus - have inverted 2026's easing narrative and handed new Fed chair Kevin Warsh an immediate dilemma. Fed funds futures now price a 9…
President Trump posted on Saturday that final details of a war-ending Iran package — reopening Hormuz and lifting the US naval blockade — are "currently being discussed." Iranian negotiators say the …
April PPI rose 1.4% MoM, the biggest monthly jump since 2022, lifting the annual rate to 6.0% versus the 0.5% consensus. Core PPI hit 5.2%. Tuesday's CPI had already printed 3.8% YoY (highest since M…
A four-week-old US–Iran ceasefire fractured Monday after Iranian missiles struck the United Arab Emirates and US forces sank Iranian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude jumped 6.0% to $114.4…
Brent crude closed Monday at $106/bbl , roughly $25 above the pre-war Q1 baseline of $81 , despite a US–Iran ceasefire now in its third week. With Hormuz traffic still running at under 10% of the pre…
Trump extended the two-week truce ahead of its 22 April expiry at Pakistan's request, but Iran continues to seize commercial vessels while the US Navy maintains its blockade. The IEA has called the e…
Global markets enter a 48-hour binary event. Friday's euphoria — S&P 500 at a record 7,126.06, Brent down 9% to $90.38 — priced an Iran ceasefire that unraveled on Saturday when Tehran re-closed the …
The US–Iran truce expires around April 22, yet the S&P 500 closed at a record 7,041.28 on April 16, the Nasdaq ran its 12th straight session of gains — the longest streak since 2009 — and Brent settl…
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire announced Tuesday night triggered the sharpest single-day oil decline since 2020, with WTI crude plunging 14.9% to $96.14/bbl and Brent falling 13.8% to $94.16/bbl. Glo…
Beijing launches twin investigations into US trade barriers, signalling hardened posture as SCOTUS ruling and Section 122 cap compress US tariffs to 10% — lowest since 2017
What Simultaneous Conflicts in the Middle East, South Asia, and the Levant Mean for Asian Risk Calculus In the span of seven days—from February 28 to March 6, 2026—three previously distinct geopolitical crises converged into simultaneous kinetic conflict. Iran's nuclear escalation triggered US-Israel coordinated strikes. Israel's ground invasion of Lebanon accelerated. Pakistan launched massive airstrike operations against Afghanistan. The result: a systemic shock to global markets, energy flows, supply chains...
Gold is experiencing a paradox: the sharpest correction since early 2023 is occurring precisely when the structural case for gold is strongest. The 17% drawdown from the all-time high of $5,589 (January 28, 2026) to $4,660 (March 20) is being driven by three cyclical forces — a stronger dollar from the oil shock, a hawkish Fed pivot from two expected cuts to one, and forced liquidation of leveraged long positions. None of these forces invalidate the decade-long structural bid from central bank de-dollarisation...
The global inflation landscape in 2026 is defined not by a single narrative but by a profound divergence. The United States is navigating 'sticky' inflation at 2.4% — stubbornly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target — driven by tariff pass-through, services wage pressures, and shelter cost persistence. The Eurozone has returned to near-target at 1.9%. Japan, after decades of deflation, faces rising prices with CPI at 1.5% and the Bank of Japan hiking rates to 0.75%, their highest since 1995. And China confronts...
The US dollar remains the world's dominant reserve, trade, and transaction currency — but the structural foundations that underpin that dominance are eroding along multiple simultaneous vectors. The dollar's share of global central bank reserves has declined from 71% in 2000 to approximately 57% by Q3 2025, a 14 percentage-point decline that accelerated after the 2022 freezing of Russia's dollar-denominated assets. Yet in absolute terms, dollar reserves have grown — the decline is relative, driven by...
The relationship between risk and return has been fundamentally altered. China's inbound FDI collapsed 75% from its 2021 peak to $86 billion in 2025, while outbound investment remained resilient at $144 billion — creating an unprecedented asymmetry in capital flows. Simultaneously, 24 of 27 EU member states now screen foreign investments (up from 11 in 2017), the United States introduced outbound investment screening for the first time targeting China's technology sectors, and emerging market cost of equity has...
The EU has enacted ten major digital and sustainability regulations in 24 months. China has amended its Cybersecurity Law, expanded AI governance, and operationalised cross-border data certification. The US is simultaneously retreating on climate disclosure and accelerating on AI and privacy at the state level. Global AML compliance costs exceed $180 billion annually — yet detect less than 2% of illicit finance. For international businesses, the question is no longer whether to comply, but whether compliance at...
Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz - the chokepoint for 21 million barrels per day and 45-50% of China's crude imports - has sent Brent crude surging 50% since US-Israel strikes began o…
95% of US enterprises use generative AI. Only 25% have documented governance policies. The EU AI Act carries penalties of 7% of global turnover. 53 shareholder class actions have been filed. The gap between adoption and governance is the defining risk of 2026. The artificial intelligence market is projected to reach $4.8 trillion by 2033, with hyperscaler capital expenditure alone reaching $443 billion in 2025 — a 73% increase from 2024. AI startup funding hit $202 billion in 2025, capturing 50% of all venture...
The Strait of Hormuz closure enters its second week with Brent crude sustaining above $92/bbl, WTI near $90, and no diplomatic off-ramp in sight. Iran's Revolutionary Guard has deployed additional mi…
The global industry landscape is being reshaped by an unprecedented convergence of tariff escalation, export controls, sanctions enforcement, and competitive industrial policy. In the twelve months to February 2026, the United States imposed six major tariff actions — from 25% on Mexico and Canada to 145% effective rates on Chinese goods to 100% on branded pharmaceuticals — while simultaneously restricting semiconductor exports and expanding CHIPS Act investment tax credits to 35%. The European Union activated...
The S&P 500 fell to 6,740.02 — its lowest close of 2026 — as a toxic combination of surging oil prices and deteriorating US labour data crystallised stagflation fears. The Dow dropped to 47,501.55, t…
The US Dollar Index (DXY) surged to its highest level in three months on March 3 as safe-haven flows intensified following Iran's retaliatory missile barrage. The S&P 500 fell 0.94% to 6,816.63, the …
Three years after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine triggered the most sweeping sanctions campaign since the Second World War, the three regimes that matter most—the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom—have reached an inflection point. They agree on the strategic objective: constrain Russia’s ability to fund its war machine, degrade its access to critical technology, and impose costs on those who facilitate sanctions evasion. But they increasingly disagree on how to get there. This...
On 28 February 2026, the United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes on Iran under Operation Epic Fury. Iran retaliated with over 500 missiles and 2,000 drones, and declared the Strait of Hormuz closed. Tanker traffic dropped to near-zero within 72 hours. This single chokepoint handles 20.9 million barrels per day — one-fifth of global oil consumption. Combined with the ongoing Red Sea disruption from Houthi attacks, nearly 30% of global seaborne oil trade is now transiting through disrupted or...
The United States and Israel launched Operation Epic Fury on February 28, conducting over 1,700 precision strikes against Iranian military infrastructure, nuclear facilities, and leadership compounds…
For corporate executives, general counsel and board directors—particularly those with China and Asia exposure—the new geometry of power alters the supply-chain maps on which cross-border transactions are built, shifts trade flows, and dramatically expands the universe of parties and sectors subject to sanctions or investment screening. BRICS expanded from five members in 2020 to eleven in 2025, with a further ten partner countries joining in January 2025. Intra-BRICS merchandise trade reached US$1.17 trillion in...
The US Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorise presidential tariffs, voiding an estimated $166 billion in …
The S&P 500 breached the 7,000 milestone intraday on January 28, hitting an all-time high of 7,002.28, before pulling back to close at 6,978.03 after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate u…
Taiwan Semiconductor reported Q4 2025 net income of NT$505.74 billion ($16.01 billion), crushing estimates by 5.7% on revenue of NT$1.05 trillion. High-performance computing (HPC) revenue grew 48% ye…
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