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Commodities

Standard Risk Global articles related to Commodities.

The week's highlights

The Ceasefire Paradox

Sixty-four days after the April 7 ceasefire, the financial economy and the physical economy are telling opposite stories. Brent has surrendered roughly half its war premium, gold has corrected ~26% from its January peak, and the VIX trades near 19 — markets, in aggregate, are pricing peace. Yet the Strait of Hormuz moves 5–10% of its pre-war traffic, war-risk insurance costs 3–8x its February baseline, Asian spot LNG runs ~70% above January, and supertanker freight is double last year. For Asian enterprises, the...

The Correction Paradox: Why Gold's 17% Drawdown Is a Buying Signal, Not a Breakdown

Gold is experiencing a paradox: the sharpest correction since early 2023 is occurring precisely when the structural case for gold is strongest. The 17% drawdown from the all-time high of $5,589 (January 28, 2026) to $4,660 (March 20) is being driven by three cyclical forces — a stronger dollar from the oil shock, a hawkish Fed pivot from two expected cuts to one, and forced liquidation of leveraged long positions. None of these forces invalidate the decade-long structural bid from central bank de-dollarisation...

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