Standard Risk Global articles related to Equities.
The Strait of Hormuz, blocked by Iran since February 28, 2026, has triggered an oil supply shock redrawing Asian energy alliances and intensifying global inflation. The Bank of Japan lifted its polic…
The USTR's proposed Section 301 forced-labor tariffs — 12.5% on 44 countries and 10% on 16 others, spanning 60 economies total — mark the most sweeping unilateral trade action of the decade. The Drew…
Bank of Japan lifted its policy rate to 1% on June 16, the highest level since 1995, and the 10-year JGB yield jumped 3bps to 2.615% on the decision. USDJPY is now testing a breakout above 162 on Fed…
The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold its key rate at 3.50%-3.75% in June 2026, coupled with a US-Iran 60-day ceasefire extension, sets the stage for a prolonged period of elevated dollar and tight …
U.S. headline inflation surged to a three-year high of 4.2% in May, driven almost entirely by a Gulf-war energy spike rather than domestic demand. The print buried hopes of 2026 Federal Reserve easin…
The May U.S. consumer price index, due at 8:30 a.m. ET today, is set to print near 4.2% year-on-year — up from 3.8% in April and the highest since 2023 — confirming that the Iran war’s energy shock h…
Friday's $1.3 trillion wipeout in U.S. chip stocks was a verdict on valuation, not demand. Broadcom reported AI revenue up 143% to $10.8 billion and a $73 billion backlog - yet its shares fell and …
May payrolls of 172,000 - more than double the ~80,000 consensus - have inverted 2026's easing narrative and handed new Fed chair Kevin Warsh an immediate dilemma. Fed funds futures now price a 9…
Iran's June 1 vow to "completely" seal the Strait of Hormuz has re-embedded a ~$35/bbl war premium in Brent crude - now ~$96.5, down from April's $126 spike - and driven gold to a record ~$4,480/…
Iran's suspension of US talks and threat to fully close the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent up more than 4% to open June, near $95 after a $126 four-year peak in April. The supply shock has dragged eur…
Global markets have split in two. U.S. equities closed at fresh records on June 1 — the S&P 500 at 7,599.96, the Nasdaq above 27,000 for the first time — wagering on a swift end to the Iran war. Yet …
Iran's de-escalation erased 2026's geopolitical risk premium in a single month. A 60-day memorandum to reopen the Strait of Hormuz drove Brent down 19% in May — its worst month since the COVID crash …
Headline PCE jumped to 3.8% in April — the highest reading since May 2023 — handing new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh a hawkish opening hand. CME futures now place a 40% probability on a December rate hike ,…
U.S. self-defense strikes in southern Iran on May 26 lifted Brent crude 3% to $99.58/bbl while the S&P 500 ( 7,519.12 ) and Nasdaq ( 26,656.18 ) closed at fresh record highs on Trump's claim that tal…
Iran is reviewing Washington's latest framework — Trump declared talks "in the final stages" — yet shipping disruption remains acute. CENTCOM has turned away 94 vessels through May 22, UANI is tracki…
Brent slid to $107 and WTI broke below $100 on Trump's "final stages" remark — yet the IEA's May report says commercial stocks drew a record 246 million barrels in March-April, leaving "only weeks" b…
The Putin–Xi summit lands at the 25th anniversary of the 2001 Treaty of Good-Neighbourliness and is set to produce a joint statement plus a slate of intergovernmental agreements, with Premier Li Qian…
Cross-asset markets registered a classic stagflation Friday: Brent surged to USD 109.26 as the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, the US 10-year yield jumped 9bp to 4.544% — its highest in a year — an…
The first sitting U.S. president to visit Beijing in nearly a decade produced more than optics: Trump and Xi formalised a three-year "strategic stability" framework with concrete deliverables on rare…
April PPI rose 1.4% MoM, the biggest monthly jump since 2022, lifting the annual rate to 6.0% versus the 0.5% consensus. Core PPI hit 5.2%. Tuesday's CPI had already printed 3.8% YoY (highest since M…
Trump touches down in Beijing Thursday for the first US presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. Markets are pricing his arrival as a non-event: the S&P 500 closed at a record 7,398.93 Friday …
The offshore yuan rallied to 6.79 per dollar on Friday — its strongest since February 2023 and a fourth straight session of gains — as global capital prices in a constructive Trump-Xi summit on May 1…
A 14-point US-Iran one-page memorandum reported by Axios on May 6 priced out 70 days of war-risk premium in a single session: WTI fell 6.9% to $95.19, Brent broke below $101, the S&P 500 closed at a …
President Trump confirmed the US-Iran truce holds despite UAE-area strikes, with Tehran's 14-point proposal still gating enrichment and a new Strait of Hormuz mechanism. Brent fell 4.0% to $109.87 an…
A four-week-old US–Iran ceasefire fractured Monday after Iranian missiles struck the United Arab Emirates and US forces sank Iranian vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude jumped 6.0% to $114.4…
The Powell-to-Warsh handover on 15 May has crystallized the sharpest Fed regime pivot in a generation: cumulative 2026 cuts priced into Dec-2026 SOFR have collapsed from three (Sept-2025 consensus) t…
The Iran war's two-month chokehold on Hormuz has cut Chinese crude transit through the strait by 95% to 222,000 b/d, from 4.45 million b/d before the conflict, even as Brent printed a wartime high of…
Trump's Saturday cancellation of the Witkoff-Kushner Pakistan trip — paired with Baker Hughes' guidance that the Strait of Hormuz may not fully reopen until H2 2026 — has converted what equity market…
A two-month dual blockade of the Strait of Hormuz lifted Brent to $105.33 on Friday, capping a +16% weekly surge — yet the S&P 500 ( 7,165 ) and Nasdaq ( 24,837 ) closed at fresh records, betting the…
The U.S.–Iran ceasefire was extended indefinitely on 21 April but the Strait remains effectively closed. Iran's IRGC seized two more commercial vessels mid-week; the U.S. Navy continued interdicting …
Global markets enter a 48-hour binary event. Friday's euphoria — S&P 500 at a record 7,126.06, Brent down 9% to $90.38 — priced an Iran ceasefire that unraveled on Saturday when Tehran re-closed the …
The Strait of Hormuz reopened to commercial traffic on Friday, triggering the most violent single-session unwind of geopolitical risk premium in six weeks. Brent collapsed 10.7% to $88.73, the S&P 50…
The US–Iran truce expires around April 22, yet the S&P 500 closed at a record 7,041.28 on April 16, the Nasdaq ran its 12th straight session of gains — the longest streak since 2009 — and Brent settl…
The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high of 7,022.95 on April 15, even as the IEA's April Oil Market Report confirmed global supply has fallen 10.1 mb/d to 97 mb/d — the largest disruption ever recorde…
A US Navy blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, ordered after weekend talks in Islamabad collapsed, pushed Brent back to $101.82/bbl (+6.95%) and WTI above $105 (+9.3% intraday). US equities rallied anyw…
The bottom line: A Saturday US–Iran negotiation round in Islamabad has knocked Brent down more than 10% on the week to 6.51, yet the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. For Chinese and Asia-…
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire announced Tuesday night triggered the sharpest single-day oil decline since 2020, with WTI crude plunging 14.9% to $96.14/bbl and Brent falling 13.8% to $94.16/bbl. Glo…
The Oman-brokered "Muscat Protocol" - signed over the weekend by Iran and Oman establishing a guaranteed Green Channel for commercial maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz - triggered the bro…
President Trump's 8:00 PM ET deadline for Iran to unconditionally reopen the Strait of Hormuz creates the most consequential binary risk event of 2026. Brent crude closed at $112 on April 3, up 44% s…
A diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran on March 31 sent Brent crude tumbling from $113 to $101 per barrel, erasing one-third of the war premium accumulated since late February. The S&P 500…
The Strait of Hormuz crisis enters its most dangerous phase this week, with oil executives and analysts warning that disrupted supply — already at 4.5–5 million barrels per day — could double by mid-…
China launched two formal trade investigations into US practices on Friday, targeting American tech export controls and green energy barriers - a direct retaliation against Trump's Section 301 probes…
The most consequential US-China bilateral meeting in a decade begins March 31 in Beijing, with markets pricing modest expectations but underestimating tail risks on both sides. The S&P 500 fell 1.74%…
The Trump-Xi summit beginning March 31 in Beijing — the first US presidential visit to China since 2017 — arrives five days from now against a fundamentally reshaped trade backdrop. The US Supreme Co…
President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on March 22 threatening to strike Iran's power grid unless Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude to 12 per barrel and triggering a …
The postponement of the Trump-Xi summit - originally scheduled for March 31-April 2 - has eliminated the most credible near-term catalyst for US-China tariff de-escalation, while Brent crude at 07.2/…
The S&P 500 broke below its 200-day moving average on Friday for the first time since October 2023, closing at 6,606 (−1.5%), as the convergence of the Fed’s rate hold at 3.50–3.75% and Brent crude a…
Four major central banks convene within 48 hours of each other while Brent crude holds above $100/bbl — a rare convergence that is repricing risk assets globally and forcing Chinese corporates to rec…
Selective tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz drove a relief rally across global risk assets on March 17, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.3% to 6,696 and Brent crude easing to ~$104 from a peak of…
The US dollar remains the world's dominant reserve, trade, and transaction currency — but the structural foundations that underpin that dominance are eroding along multiple simultaneous vectors. The dollar's share of global central bank reserves has declined from 71% in 2000 to approximately 57% by Q3 2025, a 14 percentage-point decline that accelerated after the 2022 freezing of Russia's dollar-denominated assets. Yet in absolute terms, dollar reserves have grown — the decline is relative, driven by...
Brent crude closed at $103.14 on Friday - its second consecutive session above $100 - as Iran's vow to keep the Strait of Hormuz shut enters its ninth day, disrupting 20% of global oil supply. The S&…
The US-Iran war has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz for ten consecutive days, sending Brent crude above $100/bbl and the S&P 500 to its 2026 low of 6,673. With 20% of global oil transit block…
The relationship between risk and return has been fundamentally altered. China's inbound FDI collapsed 75% from its 2021 peak to $86 billion in 2025, while outbound investment remained resilient at $144 billion — creating an unprecedented asymmetry in capital flows. Simultaneously, 24 of 27 EU member states now screen foreign investments (up from 11 in 2017), the United States introduced outbound investment screening for the first time targeting China's technology sectors, and emerging market cost of equity has...
Iran's refusal of the G7 ceasefire and confirmation that the Strait of Hormuz remains mined pushed Brent crude to $99.35/bbl on March 12 - up 32% in ten trading days - while the S&P 500 fell 1.52% to…
Brent crude futures surged to $110 per barrel on Monday, up 52% from pre-crisis levels of $72.50, as the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz entered its second week with no diplomatic resolution…
Brent crude closed the week at $92.69/bbl — a 35% weekly gain, the largest in recorded history — as the Iran-Hormuz crisis reshaped global commodity markets. The S&P 500 ended the week at 6,740.02 (−…
The S&P 500 fell to 6,740.02 — its lowest close of 2026 — as a toxic combination of surging oil prices and deteriorating US labour data crystallised stagflation fears. The Dow dropped to 47,501.55, t…
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 784 points to close at 47,954.74 — its worst single-day loss of 2026 — after Iran's Supreme National Security Council declared an "indefinite closure" of the …
China set its 2026 GDP growth target at 4.5–5% at the opening of the National People's Congress — the lowest target since the 1990s and the first time a range format has been used. The S&P 500 reboun…
The US Dollar Index (DXY) surged to its highest level in three months on March 3 as safe-haven flows intensified following Iran's retaliatory missile barrage. The S&P 500 fell 0.94% to 6,816.63, the …
The S&P 500 opened 2.5% lower at the Monday bell before staging a dramatic intraday reversal to close at 6,881.62 — virtually flat on the day — as institutional dip-buyers absorbed the Iran shock. Th…
The S&P 500 finished February down 0.8%, but the headline index masked the most dramatic sector rotation since 2022. Utilities surged 10.2% and Energy gained 9.4%, while Technology — the market's eng…
Nvidia reported fiscal Q4 2026 revenue of $68.13 billion (+73.2% YoY), beating consensus estimates of $66.21 billion, with EPS of $1.62 (+82.0% YoY) exceeding forecasts by $0.08. Data centre revenue …
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 822 points (−1.7%) to close at 48,804 on February 23 as two distinct shocks converged: Trump's weekend announcement hiking the global tariff from 10% to 15%, …
The US Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act does not authorise presidential tariffs, voiding an estimated $166 billion in …
The S&P 500 breached the 7,000 milestone intraday on January 28, hitting an all-time high of 7,002.28, before pulling back to close at 6,978.03 after the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate u…
Taiwan Semiconductor reported Q4 2025 net income of NT$505.74 billion ($16.01 billion), crushing estimates by 5.7% on revenue of NT$1.05 trillion. High-performance computing (HPC) revenue grew 48% ye…
The S&P 500 opened 2026 at 6,858.47, extending a historic streak of back-to-back 20%+ annual returns. But beneath the headline index, leadership is shifting. Boeing surged 12% in early January, Cater…
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