Standard Risk Global articles related to China.
Iran's de-escalation erased 2026's geopolitical risk premium in a single month. A 60-day memorandum to reopen the Strait of Hormuz drove Brent down 19% in May — its worst month since the COVID crash …
President Trump posted on Saturday that final details of a war-ending Iran package — reopening Hormuz and lifting the US naval blockade — are "currently being discussed." Iranian negotiators say the …
Iran's Supreme Leader has killed the quick-deal narrative, locking Brent above $100 for the foreseeable future. For Chinese firms going global, this is no longer a transient shock — it is a new struc…
The first sitting U.S. president to visit Beijing in nearly a decade produced more than optics: Trump and Xi formalised a three-year "strategic stability" framework with concrete deliverables on rare…
A four-week dollar slide and the offshore yuan's break to 6.79 — its strongest reading since February 2023 — give Chinese strategic acquirers a 4–5% YTD discount on USD-priced assets just as the Trum…
A 14-point US-Iran one-page memorandum reported by Axios on May 6 priced out 70 days of war-risk premium in a single session: WTI fell 6.9% to $95.19, Brent broke below $101, the S&P 500 closed at a …
The Powell-to-Warsh handover on 15 May has crystallized the sharpest Fed regime pivot in a generation: cumulative 2026 cuts priced into Dec-2026 SOFR have collapsed from three (Sept-2025 consensus) t…
Brent crude closed Monday at $106/bbl , roughly $25 above the pre-war Q1 baseline of $81 , despite a US–Iran ceasefire now in its third week. With Hormuz traffic still running at under 10% of the pre…
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire expires today with no successor deal, locking a $20/bbl geopolitical premium into Brent (closed yesterday at $95.42, +5.6% d/d). For Chinese exporters and SOE energy bu…
Iran's Revolutionary Guard reclosed the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic on Saturday, undoing a Friday reopening that had triggered a 9.07% Brent crude plunge to $90.38. The whipsaw — driven by…
The Strait of Hormuz reopened to commercial traffic on Friday, triggering the most violent single-session unwind of geopolitical risk premium in six weeks. Brent collapsed 10.7% to $88.73, the S&P 50…
Brent crude tumbled to $94.79/bbl as Washington signalled fresh negotiations with Tehran, retracing half the war-risk premium in 72 hours. For Chinese refiners and downstream chemicals — the world's …
The March CPI report released this morning confirmed what markets feared: the Iran-related energy shock has broken the disinflation trend. Core CPI surged to 3.1% year-over-year — a 12-month high — w…
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire announced Tuesday night triggered the sharpest single-day oil decline since 2020, with WTI crude plunging 14.9% to $96.14/bbl and Brent falling 13.8% to $94.16/bbl. Glo…
President Trump's last-minute offer to suspend military operations against Iran for two weeks - conditional on Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz - sent crude oil plunging 8% on April 7, erasi…
President Trump's 8:00 PM ET deadline for Iran to unconditionally reopen the Strait of Hormuz creates the most consequential binary risk event of 2026. Brent crude closed at $112 on April 3, up 44% s…
Iran's selective reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to five allied nations — including China — is fracturing global oil markets into a two-tier system, with Brent crude at $112.42/bbl as of April 3. T…
A diplomatic breakthrough between the US and Iran on March 31 sent Brent crude tumbling from $113 to $101 per barrel, erasing one-third of the war premium accumulated since late February. The S&P 500…
The largest oil supply disruption in modern history closes out Q1 2026 with Brent at $112.78/bbl—up 63% in March alone—as the Strait of Hormuz blockade removes 10 million barrels per day from global …
Brent crude settled at $112.57 per barrel on Friday, capping a 54% surge since the Strait of Hormuz closed to commercial shipping on March 2 — the largest monthly oil price increase in market history…
China launched two formal trade investigations into US practices on Friday, targeting American tech export controls and green energy barriers - a direct retaliation against Trump's Section 301 probes…
Beijing launches twin investigations into US trade barriers, signalling hardened posture as SCOTUS ruling and Section 122 cap compress US tariffs to 10% — lowest since 2017
Trump's announcement of "productive" US-Iran talks triggered a historic risk-on rotation on March 23, sending Brent crude down 10.9% to $99.94/bbl and the Dow up 631 points. The halt of strikes on Ir…
President Trump issued a 48-hour ultimatum on March 22 threatening to strike Iran's power grid unless Tehran fully reopens the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude to 12 per barrel and triggering a …
Iran's March 18 strikes on Qatar's LNG facilities and Saudi and UAE oil infrastructure sent Brent crude surging to an intraday high of $119/bbl on March 19 before settling at $108.65 - still 49% ab…
The global inflation landscape in 2026 is defined not by a single narrative but by a profound divergence. The United States is navigating 'sticky' inflation at 2.4% — stubbornly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target — driven by tariff pass-through, services wage pressures, and shelter cost persistence. The Eurozone has returned to near-target at 1.9%. Japan, after decades of deflation, faces rising prices with CPI at 1.5% and the Bank of Japan hiking rates to 0.75%, their highest since 1995. And China confronts...
The US-Iran war has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz for ten consecutive days, sending Brent crude above $100/bbl and the S&P 500 to its 2026 low of 6,673. With 20% of global oil transit block…
The relationship between risk and return has been fundamentally altered. China's inbound FDI collapsed 75% from its 2021 peak to $86 billion in 2025, while outbound investment remained resilient at $144 billion — creating an unprecedented asymmetry in capital flows. Simultaneously, 24 of 27 EU member states now screen foreign investments (up from 11 in 2017), the United States introduced outbound investment screening for the first time targeting China's technology sectors, and emerging market cost of equity has...
Iran's refusal of the G7 ceasefire and confirmation that the Strait of Hormuz remains mined pushed Brent crude to $99.35/bbl on March 12 - up 32% in ten trading days - while the S&P 500 fell 1.52% to…
The EU has enacted ten major digital and sustainability regulations in 24 months. China has amended its Cybersecurity Law, expanded AI governance, and operationalised cross-border data certification. The US is simultaneously retreating on climate disclosure and accelerating on AI and privacy at the state level. Global AML compliance costs exceed $180 billion annually — yet detect less than 2% of illicit finance. For international businesses, the question is no longer whether to comply, but whether compliance at...
The USTR launched Section 301 investigations into 16 trading partners on March 11, explicitly citing "structural excess capacity" - Washington's code for China's manufacturing dominance. The move com…
Natural catastrophe losses have exceeded $100 billion insured for six consecutive years. The EU carbon price is seven times China's. $2.3 trillion in fossil fuel assets face stranding. Climate disclosure mandates are converging globally — while the gap between net-zero commitments and fossil fuel production plans has never been wider. Climate risk is no longer a sustainability issue. It is a pricing issue. Climate risk has crossed a threshold from disclosure exercise to financial pricing event. In 2024, global...
Brent crude plunged 11.3% to $87.80 on March 10 after President Trump signaled the Iran conflict would end "very soon," reversing a 40% surge that had pushed prices above $110 just 48 hours earlier. …
Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz - the chokepoint for 21 million barrels per day and 45-50% of China's crude imports - has sent Brent crude surging 50% since US-Israel strikes began o…
The global industry landscape is being reshaped by an unprecedented convergence of tariff escalation, export controls, sanctions enforcement, and competitive industrial policy. In the twelve months to February 2026, the United States imposed six major tariff actions — from 25% on Mexico and Canada to 145% effective rates on Chinese goods to 100% on branded pharmaceuticals — while simultaneously restricting semiconductor exports and expanding CHIPS Act investment tax credits to 35%. The European Union activated...
China set its 2026 GDP growth target at 4.5–5% at the opening of the National People's Congress — the lowest target since the 1990s and the first time a range format has been used. The S&P 500 reboun…
For corporate executives, general counsel and board directors—particularly those with China and Asia exposure—the new geometry of power alters the supply-chain maps on which cross-border transactions are built, shifts trade flows, and dramatically expands the universe of parties and sectors subject to sanctions or investment screening. BRICS expanded from five members in 2020 to eleven in 2025, with a further ten partner countries joining in January 2025. Intra-BRICS merchandise trade reached US$1.17 trillion in...
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